Consumer: Homebuilders & Building Products - 2008
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Consumer: Homebuilders & Building Products - 2008

Vaulting from third to claim his inaugural No. 1 finish, Michael Rehaut of ­JPMorgan Securities “represents stability after so ­many others have moved over to hedge funds,” notes one longtime client.

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Michael Rehaut


Michael Rehaut ­JPMorgan


SECOND TEAM


Ivy Zelman Zelman & Associates


THIRD TEAM


Carl Reichardt Jr. Wachovia


RUNNERS-UP


David Goldberg UBS ; Daniel Oppenheim Credit Suisse ; Nishu Sood Deutsche


Vaulting from third to claim his inaugural No. 1 finish, Michael Rehaut of ­JPMorgan Securities “represents stability after so ­many others have moved over to hedge funds,” notes one longtime client. In February, Rehaut reiterated his negative stance on the entire sector, informing investors that the previous month’s rally had been fueled by short covering, while ­fundamentals remained weak. From that call through mid-­September, Centex Corp. of Dallas was down 32.8 percent; D.R. Horton of Fort Worth, Texas, was off 14.2 percent; and Lennar Corp. of Miami had fallen 25.3 percent. Overall the sector fell 21.8 percent. Rehaut, 35, earned a bachelor’s degree at New York University’s Stern School of Business in 1995 and worked as a homebuilding analyst at Sal­omon Smith Barney before joining ­JPMorgan in 2002. Ivy Zelman, who had topped the ranking for seven of the previous eight years, slips to No. 2. “Whatever data you need, she has it,” says one ­money manager. The Zelman & Associates analyst managed to find a few buying opportunities in the beleaguered sector, including Bloomfield Hills, ­Michigan–based Pulte Homes, which she upgraded in June, dubbing the stock a bargain at $10.13. After the share price had soared 29.6 percent, to $13.13, in mid-August, Zelman downgraded the stock to hold, on valuation. In mid-­September the stock was trading at $16.45. Carl Reichardt Jr. of Wachovia Securities advances from ­runner-up to third. “He analyzes the whole industry from every angle,” avers one investor. Reichardt down­graded Universal Forest Products, a lumber distributor headquartered in Grand Rapids, Michigan, to sell in ­July 2007, owing to weakness in residential construction. The stock had tumbled 16.1 percent by mid-­September 2008.


Return to The Best Analysts of the Year


Return to Rankings


Related

Repeating in first place is Colin McGranahan of Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., dubbed by one portfolio manager as “the go-to man if you want to know the numerical impact of an issue.”
The “finest consumer analyst on the Street” is how one port­folio manager describes David Adelman of Morgan Stanley, who tops the sector for a sixth year in a row.
Clients say Brian Tunick, who captures the crown for a third consecutive year, provides a “fresh and realistic take on ­what’s going on,” says one invesor.
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